But revenues aren’t the only issue. It’s the costs of running the business that are terrifying. And Mr. Zuckerberg, Facebook’s co-founder and CEO, knows this better than anyone. In April, Mr. Zuckerberg paid a little more than $1-billion (U.S.) in cash and shares to buy a startup firm called Instagram, maker of a photo app. The company had 12 employees and no revenues but had nonetheless attracted 50 million users in short order. Since that deal was announced – it was accepted but hasn’t closed – Facebook has developed its own similar app, which will compete with Instagram. Given that Facebook could easily produce its own version of Instagram, and did, it’s obvious that Mr. Zuckerberg wasn’t attracted by the technology. So what made him want to spend $1-billion on a company with practically no assets? Simple: Facebook is by and large a photo-sharing site. Most people log on to see pictures or comment on them, like the “friends” who write things like “nice legs, shame about your face” on my wall. In my view, Mr. Zuckerberg was worried by the threat posed by the meteoric rise of Instagram’s number of users. That’s what media companies live and die by – the number of eyeballs they can sell to advertisers. The more eyeballs Instagram attracted with pictures, the fewer Facebook could attract (or the more it could lose). Think about what this means, especially if you own Facebook shares. By his actions, Mr. Zuckerberg is admitting that there are few barriers to entry in the social networking business. It’s not clear what it cost to get Instagram up and running but it was a tiny fraction of $1-billion. Yet that’s the price Facebook had to pay to acquire it only a couple of years after the idea behind the company was conceived. Facebook wasn’t acquiring Instagram as an investment. (If it were, it wouldn’t have developed its own version.) Facebook was eliminating a threat, at a very high cost. Here’s where strategy and finance collide. Facebook will probably now capitalize the $1-billion cost of its Instagram purchase on its balance sheet. Most of the price will be listed on the balance sheet as goodwill – the excess of the purchase price over the value of the company’s assets. As long as it’s not impaired, goodwill just sits on the books as opposed to, say, a physical asset that gets depreciated as a cost on the income statement every quarter. But if this isn’t really an investment, it’s a cost of doing business. It’s the cost, in other words, of maintaining a competitive edge, just like marketing a brand name. When Gillette advertises its razor blades to maintain its huge profit margins, it expenses it. Facebook won’t do that, even though acquisitions like Instagram are a cost of doing business. The company isn’t breaking any laws or accounting regulations, but I think its treatment of acquisitions means its earnings picture appears brighter than it is in reality. Facebook earned $205-million in the first quarter, which was 12 per cent lower than a year earlier, despite much higher revenues. Facebook’s costs are clearly going up. But had those costs included the expense of eliminating a threat – of protecting the brand – there would be no profit for the quarter and perhaps the year. Is this company really profitable? You may argue that acquiring Instagram was a one-time cost. But it isn’t. On top of all its other struggles – like surviving in the mobile age – Facebook will constantly be under siege by every clever kid who can dream up a photo-sharing app that could draw eyeballs away from Facebook’s pages. Each time it does, it’ll pay a big price and park the assets on the balance sheet. (Eventually it’ll write them off as a “one time cost.”) Smart investors will know better. They’ll know that it’s a routine cost of survival. So if you want to profit from Facebook, start a cool photo app, attract a few million users and then sell it to Facebook. It sounds hard, I realize, but it’s an easier way to make money than buying stock from Mark Zuckerberg.
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TEN NAMES YOU ARE STILL NOT ALLOWED TO BE TOLD...TEN NAMES YOU ARE STILL NOT ALLOWED TO BE TOLD...
1. A rich public figure won a gagging order to hush up his infidelity claiming it would be ‘very distressing’ for his family if details of his affair were made public.
2. A multi-millionaire footballer won a gagging order banning the reporting of allegations of a ‘sexual liaison, encounter or relationship’ with a foreign sportswoman.
3. A top Premier League and international star – a multi-millionaire father in a long-term relationship – took out an injunction that prevented a woman going public with claims that he cheated on his wife.
4. A Premier League manager won an injunction gagging a cuckolded husband from revealing his identity and details of his affair with the man’s wife, claiming he was trying to rebuild his family life.
5. One of the Premier League’s most famous and best-paid players, this married man with children took out an injunction preventing publication of details of a ‘sexual liaison or relationship’ between him and another woman.
6. A married TV star obtained a gagging order stopping his ex-wife writing about their relationship and claims that they had a sexual affair after he remarried.
7. An international footballer playing for one of the Premier League’s biggest clubs won an injunction covering an alleged ‘blackmail plot’ over a group sex incident with three Swedish women at a hotel, filmed on a mobile phone.
8. A world-famous sportsman, not a footballer, who is married and a father was granted an injunction over any suggestions of an ‘extramarital affair’ with another woman.
9. A married TV star and comedian obtained a gagging order preventing the publication of allegations that he engaged in S&M sex and the disclosure of text messages, emails and photos relating to the allegations.
10. A high profile actor alleged to have paid for sex with Helen Wood, a prostitute who also had Wayne Rooney as a client, won a secrecy injunction.
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